Step 4: Model scenarios for comparison

The analysis of the learning scenarios is completed by the technical advisors using a decision-support tool called Marxan.

This tool objectively searches through millions of design options (Ardron and Possingham 2010). It effectively identifies arrangements of areas that best meet the objectives and targets established for the system by the Scenario Planning Team, while minimizing system area.
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Marxan has been applied around the world to provide decision support for conservation reserve planning. It has been used for Natural Heritage Design in Ontario by OMNR and has been found to be an effective means of identifying priority natural areas (OMNR 2006).